Friday, April 6, 2018

K7RA Solar Update

The K7RA Solar Update
Tad Cook, K7RA, Seattle, reports: We only saw sunspots on 2 days of the reporting week, on March 30 and 31, when the daily sunspot numbers were 11 and 12. No sunspots appeared during the previous week, so the average daily sunspot number rose from 0 to 3.3. Average daily solar flux inched upward from 68.2 to 68.6.
Geomagnetic indicators were quiet, with average daily planetary A index declining from 10.6 to 5, and average mid-latitude A index dipping from 8.9 to 4.
Predicted solar flux is 69 on April 5-11; 68 on April 12-22; 69 on April 23-May 6, and 68 from May 7-19.
Predicted planetary A index is 10 and 8 on April 5-6; 5 on April 7-9; 10, 15, and 20 on April 10-12; 18 on April 13-14; 15, 10, 5, and 8 on April 15-18; 15 on April 19-21; 12 and 10 on April 22-23; 5 on April 24-May 6; 10, 15, and 20 on May 7-9; 18 on May 10-11; 15, 10, 5, and 10 on May 12-15; 15 on May 16-18, and 12 on May 19.
Sunspot numbers for March 29 through April 4, 2018 were 0, 11, 12, 0, 0, 0, and 0, with a mean of 3.3. The 10.7-centimeter flux was 69, 68.8, 69, 69, 68.4, 67.8, and 68.5, with a mean of 68.6. Estimated planetary A indices were 4, 5, 7, 5, 5, 4, and 5, with a mean of 5. Estimated mid-latitude A indices were 3, 4, 6, 4, 4, 3, and 4, with a mean of 4.
In Friday's bulletin look for an updated forecast and reports from readers, including one from K3MSB on difficulties working Australia from Pennsylvania on 160 meters. Send me your reports or observations. 
TNX ARRL